The Future of Nuclear Proliferation: Trends, Challenges, and Policy Responses

Abstract

The evolving landscape of nuclear proliferation presents a complex array of trends, challenges, and policy responses that demand comprehensive analysis and strategic foresight. This paper explores the future trajectories of nuclear proliferation, emphasizing the increasing sophistication of nuclear technologies and the proliferation risks associated with non-state actors and emerging states. It examines current challenges, including the potential for regional arms races, the impact of technological advancements on nuclear security, and the effectiveness of existing non-proliferation regimes. The paper further assesses policy responses from major international actors and institutions, evaluating their effectiveness and proposing new strategies to enhance global nuclear security. By analyzing historical patterns, current trends, and future projections, this study aims to provide a nuanced understanding of nuclear proliferation dynamics and offer actionable recommendations for policymakers to address emerging threats and ensure a stable and secure nuclear order.